Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 6.002896 6.594003 7.245241 8.021117 8.927164 9.960351 11.240166
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 5.298158 6.139217 7.145530 8.461131 10.171574 12.374355 15.523027
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 4.785052 5.737689 6.940920 8.618012 10.976084 14.314883 19.701907
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 4.312881 5.294086 6.580991 8.459398 11.260418 15.534613 23.174221
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 3.964033 4.958583 6.303718 8.344473 11.546343 16.773659 27.080287
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 3.657587 4.643535 6.009948 8.148913 11.650055 17.709579 30.778403
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 3.443244 4.433087 5.837185 8.103083 11.971927 19.083657 35.999061
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 3.263816 4.254795 5.690164 8.071843 12.302208 20.545714 42.226493
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 3.160627 4.176585 5.682254 8.259450 13.048992 23.052563 52.949588
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 2.966156 3.948848 5.423738 7.992541 12.891496 23.550925 58.066737
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 2.791880 3.740534 5.179882 7.724887 12.690106 23.898880 63.039886
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 2.663025 3.593342 5.022184 7.592209 12.739132 24.872728 71.390863
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 2.544565 3.462909 4.894265 7.523131 12.961652 26.512316 85.511981
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.520129 3.478071 5.007974 7.918408 14.286932 31.823971 130.570920
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.451884 3.418605 4.990406 8.060242 15.074076 36.020237 186.159092
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.342974 3.286789 4.837975 7.916558 15.142072 37.883184 232.349969
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.249553 3.174885 4.712069 7.812382 15.291069 40.164261 301.891368
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.152525 3.051990 4.558505 7.634959 15.217033 41.580411 376.161167
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.082732 2.970658 4.473720 7.593351 15.503540 44.729479 542.280988
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.019845 2.897618 4.398920 7.564983 15.824055 48.317649 846.544263
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.987916 2.874949 4.414321 7.735269 16.763334 55.845300 2110.547813
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 1.904557 2.760756 4.252828 7.492949 16.408666 56.143992 2913.167533
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 1.825940 2.651848 4.096112 7.249580 16.015223 56.059284 4001.238033